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Gold
is still trying to add to its recent gains which pushed it up
trading above $1700 psychological level after it could easily get
over it following the Fed's decision to keep the target range for
the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent anticipating that the
current economic conditions including low rates of resource
utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run
are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds
rate at least through late 2014.
The
decision was not widely expected by the Fed after the market has
seen recently improving of the US economic performance especially in
the labor market with the falling of the unemployment rate to 8.5%
in December which is the lowest since Feb 2009.
The
Fed's economic assessment has shown its current expectation of
having longer time than the markets were pricing for reaching the
economic stability which can warrant a rate hike increasing the
probability of having more easing measures with the inflation
slowing down and this was one of the reasons which was weighing down
on the gold prices as a hedge against inflation but after this
assessment, the market can wait now for easing movement by the Fed
accompanied with the inflation upside risks easing in US.
As
we have seen recently constant falling of US CPI to reach 3% yearly
in December from 3.4% in November from 3.5% in October after
reaching 3.9% in last September which is its highest level since
September 2008 suggesting that there can be deflation pressure again
to face the US economy which lead the Fed before to take the QE2
decision in the beginning of November 2010 for fighting it and
stimulating the economy putting pressure on the cost of borrowing.
Gold
can face now resistance again $1762 and breaking it can open the way
for another resistance at $1802 which can be followed by resisting
levels above it at 1827, 1844, 1885 before its highest level at
$1920 which has been reached on 6th of last September
while the way down can meet supporting levels now at $1648, $1627,
$1592 before $1523 which could contain its falling from $1920
driving it up to reach these current levels.
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